Just change this line:
if('tarief1')
to
if ($_POST['btwtarief'] == 'tarief1')
Btw: also you dont need name
attribute for your option
elements. They have name
of select
element:
<select name="btwtarief">
<option value="tarief1">Tarief 1</option>
<option value="tarief2">Tarief 2</option>
</select>
id
attribute you may need, but I dont think so you will...