You are interested in describing deviation one variable from the other. What you are looking for is function
g( x) = f( x) - x
which returns approximation, a prediction, what number to add to x to get y data based on real x input. You need the prediction of y based on observed x values first, the f(x). This is what you can get from doing a regression:
x = MeasuredExpected ( what you have estimated, and I assume
you will know this value)
y = MeasuredReal ( what have been actually observed instead of x)
f( x) = MeasuredReal( estimated) = alfa*x + beta + e
In the simplest case of just one variable you don't even have to include special tools for this. The coefficients of equation are equal to:
alfa = covariance( MeasuredExpected, MeasuredReal) / variance( MeasuredExpected)
beta = average( MeasuredReal) - alfa * average( MeasuredExpected)
so for each expected measured x you can now state that the most probable value of real measured is:
f( x) = MeasuredReal( expected) = alfa*x + beta (under assumption that error
is normally distributed, iid)
So you have to add
g( x) = f( x) - x = ( alfa -1)*x + beta
to account for the difference that you have observed between your usual Expected and Measured.